Q. 245.0( 1 Vote )

Three perso

Answer :

Let us assume U1, U2, U3 and A be the events as follows:


U1 = choosing Person A


U2 = choosing Person B


U3 = choosing Person C


A = Improve in profit occurs


From the problem





P(A|U1) = P(Change occurs due to person A)



P(A|U2) = P(Change occurs due to person B)



P(A|U3) = P(Change occurs due to person C)



Now we find


1 - P(U3|A) = P(The change does not occurred due to appointing C)


Using Baye’s theorem:







The required probability is .


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