Q. 245.0( 1 Vote )

# Three perso

Let us assume U1, U2, U3 and A be the events as follows:

U1 = choosing Person A

U2 = choosing Person B

U3 = choosing Person C

A = Improve in profit occurs

From the problem

P(A|U1) = P(Change occurs due to person A)

P(A|U2) = P(Change occurs due to person B)

P(A|U3) = P(Change occurs due to person C)

Now we find

1 - P(U3|A) = P(The change does not occurred due to appointing C)

Using Baye’s theorem:

The required probability is .

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